According to research from UBS, 50% of 2011 global GDP growth came from Asia Pacific excluding Japan and more than a fifth from Latin America. In short, emerging markets were responsible for almost 70% of 2011 global growth with China alone contributing almost 30%. Put that another way, without emerging markets world economic output would have grown less than 1%.
"Can Do" badge
One of the most important rules I set myself is to employ or do business with people who wear the “Can Do” badge. Why do I say this and what do I mean? To generate and grow a business requires a positive approach, an ability to come up with solutions and be constructively critical. I will avoid people who find reasons not to do things. Those who wear the “Can Do” badge are the first to embrace technology.
Embracing Technology
Are you embracing technology in your business? Are you thinking about the growth opportunities the internet will provide? Here are some facts and forecasts to help you address this fast growing, global marketplace.
Individuals looking to invest and support early stage growth companies in the UK should take a close look at a recent UK Government initiative designed to incentivise such high risk investment. Think of Seed EIS as a tax incentive to invest in a company’s first funding round and which could be a prelude to a later, larger funding round where EIS tax relief would be available.
The key terms are summarised from HMRC’s website below:-
Seed Enterprise Investment Scheme (SEIS) – relief effective on or after 6 April 2012. For the first year of the new scheme, the Government will offer a capital gains tax (CGT) holiday – gains realised on the disposal of assets in 2012-13 that are invested through SEIS in the same year will be exempt from CGT.
It is well known that the FTSE 100 index of the 100 largest quoted UK companies by market capitalisation is no longer a barometer of the UK economy. Here is a quick reminder why.
- 45% of the index is just 3 sectors, 19% is oil and gas, 15% resources mainly mining and 11% banks.
- Just 26 stocks account for 45% of the index.
- If you add in the pharmaceutical and household goods sectors then 5 sectors account for nearly 60% of the index.
Finally, remember that 70% of the index’s earnings are generated overseas.
The number of devices in use around the world is forecast to increase to 22 billion by 2020. That’s almost 3 devices per person on the planet with forecasts predicting a global population of 7.6 billion by 2020. This is a huge business opportunity. Here is just one example. The digital storage required will need to grow by some 30 times to fulfil forecast demand.
Today there are over 2.1 billion people able to access the internet. This is forecast to rise to 5 billion by 2020.
Android, Symbian and Apple operating systems (OS) now account for 83% of the global smartphone market with Android alone taking a 43% market share (Source: Gartner)
In 2011, PC and laptop sales are expected to reach at least 350m units and they are still growing. Smartphone sales at approximately 420m units will overtake PC sales and they are growing much faster. Tablet sales are expected to be 50m units in 2011 and from a low base are growing even faster still. According to the Economist there will be more than 10bn connected devices by 2020. That’s more than one per head of the current 7bn global population.
Continuing my theme of expected (low) growth for major western economies, Germany “the powerhouse of Europe” has reported Q2 growth of just 0.1%, less even than the UK at 0.2% and the 17 country Eurozone average of 0.2% and France at zero. This will not help Europe to reduce its debt burden. Now we know one of the key factors stock markets have been adjusting to over the last few weeks, (the other major one being the outlook for US growth). Forecast growth rates for many major economies including the UK will inevitably need downgrading over coming months. The GDP forecast for the UK for 2011 was 2 to 2.5% 12 months ago, since then forecasts have been cut to 1.5%+ and even that now looks optimistic. Major developed economies such as the UK may have to get used to lower growth rates (1 to 1.5%) for some years.
According to a July FT article, the UK Treasury is planning a new scheme to incentivise entrepeneurs to help small companies which builds on EIS. The plan called Business Angel Seed Investment Scheme (BASIS) goes wider than EIS and will target those who offer advice and support as well as capital. Apparently the plan proposes limiting the scheme to those who have invested in four or more seed companies
The consultation also addresses the issue of the security of the information stored in cloud services, and of who has responsibility for protecting data. Cloud computing refers to the use of computers and software on an internet-based network to do information processing rather than the use of local computing resources. It allows internet users to access or store information without owning the software to do it and many online companies, such as Google, operate huge servers that store the data and deliver it to users.
The commission appears to be considering measures to help standardise terms and conditions for using cloud services. The consultation asks if it would be “useful” to estabish “model Service Level Agreements or End User Agreements” within contractual agreements for cloud services, the consultation says. The consultation asks if the rights and responsibilities for data protection in existing cloud services are clear.
In the last budget in March, a new Research and Development Grant was introduced, to be administered by the Technology Strategy Board, providing up to £25,000 of funding for business in 3 areas:
- Proof of market grants of up to £25,000 for companies to assess commercial viability;
- Proof of concept grants up to £100,000 – to explore technical feasibility / prototyping / specialist testing; and
- Development of prototype grants of up to £250,000 – developmnent of a technological innovative product, service or industrial process, including IP protection, market testing and product design.